Mar 17, 2013

Update March 17 2013

The cycle is still going up and I expect it to top around the spring equinox on March 20 or (preferably) or around March 29. I don’t expect a very big price difference between the two periods, so I will look for an opportunity to sell my long positions around March 20th. Please note that the multiple conjunctions that take place around March 29th, stock markets will be closed. US stock markets are closed on Good Friday, March 29th. European markets are closed on Good Friday March 29th and on April 1st for the Eastern holidays.

There is only one of the originally anticipated scenarios left, so this one will get a rating of 100%. This was the scenario that got the highest rating from the beginning. However, it is still possible that a different scenario will unfold.

 

Outlook

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Date:

17-Mar-13

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current situation:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cycle

Start

Current week #

 

 

 

Primary cycle

16-Nov-12

17

 

 

 

50 week cycle

4-Jun-12

41

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Primary cycle scenarios:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Start

Top

End

Wks-top

Wks-end

Rating

16-Nov-12

13-Dec-12

10-Feb-13

3,9

12,3

0%

16-Nov-12

10-Feb-13

25-Feb-13

12,3

14,4

0%

16-Nov-12

10-Feb-13

5-Mar-13

12,3

15,6

0%

16-Nov-12

25-Feb-13

28-Mar-13

14,4

18,9

0%

16-Nov-12

28-Mar-13

28-Apr-13

18,9

23,3

100%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cycle end @ min. duration

08-Feb-13

 

 

 

Cycle end @ max. duration

10-May-13

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Possible reversal dates:

13-dec-12

 

 

 

 

 

10-feb-13

**

 

 

 

 

25-feb-13

**

 

 

 

 

5-mrt-13

 

 

 

 

 

28-mrt-13

**

 

 

 

 

28-apr-12

**